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AAON, Inc. Stock Price

NasdaqGS:AAON Community·US$8.8b Market Cap
  • 3 Narratives written by author
  • 0 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 11 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

AAON Share Price Performance

US$107.62
34.23 (46.64%)
US$154.00
Fair Value
US$107.62
34.23 (46.64%)
30.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
US$154.00
Fair Value
Price US$107.62
AnalystHighTarget US$154.00
AnalystConsensusTarget US$143.50
AnalystLowTarget US$120.00

AAON Community Narratives

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Fair Value US$154 30.1% undervalued intrinsic discount

Urbanization And Decarbonization Will Fuel Efficient HVAC Solutions

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Fair Value US$143.5 25.0% undervalued intrinsic discount

Data Center Demand And Industrial Efficiency Will Shape Performance Through 2027

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Fair Value US$120 10.3% undervalued intrinsic discount

HVAC Regulatory Woes Will Squeeze Margins Yet Spark Recovery

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US$120
10.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
12.39% p.a.
Profit Margin
15.44%
Future PE
35.91x
Price in 2029
US$153.2
US$154
30.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
22.04% p.a.
Profit Margin
11.8%
Future PE
47.19x
Price in 2029
US$195.83

Trending Discussion

Updated Narratives

AAON logo

AAON: Data Center Cooling Backlog Will Support Margins Despite Profitability Concerns

Fair Value: US$143.5 25.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
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AAON: Record Backlog And Insider Selling Will Shape Stock Outlook

Fair Value: US$120 10.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
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AAON: Raised FY26 Guidance And Backlog Support Higher Long Term Earnings Power

Fair Value: US$154 30.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
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Snowflake Analysis

Moderate risk with reasonable growth potential.

5 Risks
3 Rewards

AAON, Inc. Key Details

US$1.6b

Revenue

US$1.2b

Cost of Revenue

US$424.3m

Gross Profit

US$306.2m

Other Expenses

US$118.1m

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
1.44
26.24%
7.30%
45.5%
View Full Analysis

About AAON

Founded
1987
Employees
5897
CEO
Matthew Tobolski
WebsiteView website
www.aaon.com

AAON, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, marketing, and selling air conditioning and heating equipment in the United States and Canada. The company operates through three segments: AAON Oklahoma, AAON Coil Products, and BASX. It offers rooftop units, data center cooling solutions, cleanroom systems, packaged outdoor mechanical rooms, air handling units, makeup air units, energy recovery units, condensing units, geothermal/water-source heat pumps, coils, and controls. The company markets and sells its products to retail, manufacturing, educational, lodging, supermarket, data centers, medical and pharmaceutical, and other commercial industries. It sells its products through a network of independent manufacturer representative organizations and internal sales force, as well as online. AAON, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

Recent AAON News & Updates

Seeking Alpha 12h

AAON's Plunge Was Well Deserved

Summary AAON, Inc. remains rated a soft 'sell' due to valuation concerns despite strong operational performance driven by data center investments. The recent share price decline of 22% since May reflects overvaluation, even as revenue and backlog growth remain robust, especially in the BASX and Coil Products segments. Profit margins are under pressure, particularly in the AAON Oklahoma segment, raising concerns about the sustainability of current profitability as sales expand. Even under aggressive growth scenarios, AAON trades at lofty multiples; a further 10% price decline may justify a 'hold' rating if data center momentum persists. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Jun 30

AAON: Data Center Cooling Backlog Will Support Margins Despite Profitability Concerns

Analysts have raised their price target on AAON to $143.50 from $122.75, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that were reflected in recent Street research. What's in the News AAON raised its 2026 revenue growth outlook to 40% to 45%, citing record backlog levels, expanded production capacity, and improved execution, with management highlighting visibility from a total backlog of US$2.13b, sourced from recent Street research on BASX driven data center cooling demand.

Recent updates

No updates